TOTAL FERTILITY RATE AND ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT: NEW EVIDENCE FROM BRUNEI

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Fumitaka Furuoka
Qaiser Munir

Abstract

The demographic transition from high fertility rate to low fertility rate has a strong impact on the economic development process. It has played the central role to shape the economy and society in any country. The centrality of the demographic role in the economic development has been neglected. Thus, this paper chose Brunei as a case study to examine the relationship between economic development and total fertility rates. The empirical findings of the present study show that there is a long-run relationship between Brunei's growth and its growth and there is also the long run causality from growth to fertility in the country. On the other hand, the results show that in the short run there has been no short-run causality between two variables. As a conclusion, these findings provide empirical evidence to support the hypothesis that economic development act as the "driving force" behind the demographic transition in Brunei.

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